On the Record

Predictions.

Forecasts made publicly, dated, and tracked over time. The point isn't to be right every time — it's to be honest about how the thinking holds up.

2026
AI·Active

Mid-market management goes autonomous

By the end of 2026, the majority of mid-market operational management will be handled by autonomous agent systems — not by humans.

2027
Policy·Active

The Labor Replacement Tax becomes a serious policy debate

A formal Labor Replacement Tax framework enters mainstream policy debate in at least three major economies.

2028
Technology·Active

Personal AI agents outnumber smartphones

By 2028, the typical knowledge worker will operate more personal AI agents than they own physical devices.

2026
Health·Active

Longevity routines mainstream

Fasting, breathwork, and structured stillness move from fringe to default in high-performing professional cultures.